Kalshi Prediction Markets Match or Beat Traditional ...
3 days ago · A new NBER working paper from researchers at the Federal Reserve, Northwestern's Kellogg School and Johns Hopkins finds that Kalshi -- the largest federally regulated prediction …
Kalshi maintains a ‘perfect forecast record’ in predicting ...
Jan 28, 2026 · Kalshi, the prediction marketplace for betting on news events and real-world outcomes, has racked up a list of notable successes over the past few years.
National Bureau of Economic Research | NBER
The accuracy of investor expectations is fundamental to understanding how efficiently financial markets process information. While extensive research has documented deviations from rational expectations …
Abstract Starting in 2021, Kalshi was the first federally licensed prediction market in the United States and remains the dominant platform in this segment. Using transaction-level data on over 300,000 …
Prediction markets act as leading indicators for macro risk ...
Dec 16, 2025 · Prediction markets have become a leading indicator for pivotal economic data — and traders are monitoring them to get ahead in the market. Crypto market maker Keyrock made that …
prediction indicators nber study finds markets News and ...
1 day ago · Here's complete truth Baba Vanga gold silver price shocking prediction talks about a future financial crisis. The prediction links falling paper currency value with rising gold, silver, and copper …
Kalshi Prediction Markets Match or Beat Traditional ...
Kalshi Prediction Markets Match or Beat Traditional Forecasting Tools For Macro Indicators, NBER Study Finds: A new NBER working paper from researchers at the Federal Reserve, Northwestern's ...