Central banks should remain vigilant, but can lower policy interest rates where underlying inflation is projected to moderate towards target, provided inflation expectations remain well anchored.

Jun 3, 2025 · U.S. Treasury yields moved lower on Tuesday as the OECD slashed the U.S. growth outlook on tariff uncertainty, and continued to monitor rising trade tensions.

Mar 16, 2026 · TheOECD Economic Outlook provides analysis and forecasts of major short-term global economic trends including for GDP growth, inflation and labour market developments across …

The global outlook is becoming increasingly challenging. Substantial increases in barriers to trade and heightened policy uncertainty will have marked adverse effects on growth prospects if they persist.

Mar 27, 2026 · Despite the cuts to short-term interest rates, we do not expect longer-term interest rates to move substantially lower. A widening federal budget deficit is expected to discourage investors …

Global economic growth remained resilient in 2024. However, recent indicators suggest softening growth prospects, with measures of economic policy uncertainty having risen markedly alongside the …

Mar 17, 2025 · In its previous projections, published in December, the OECD had estimated 3.3% global economic growth this year and next. The U.S. economy had been expected to grow 2.4% in 2025 and...

Central banks should use the leeway provided by moderating inflation and easing labour market to cut policy rates. The timing and scope of policy rate reductions will need to remain data-dependent and …

Global growth is projected to be 3.2% this year and 3.3% in 2025 and 2026, with inflation easing further. Nonetheless, the outlook is highly uncertain. An intensification of geopolitical tensions or global trade …

Apr 17, 2026 · Following the latest jobs report numbers and the nomination of a new Fed chair, what’s the outlook for interest rates for the rest of the year?